DEAR SOPHIA,

THE WORLD IS FULL OF VERY INTERESTING NEWS. IT SEEMS AS THOUGH THE EVENTS ARE CONFUSING. THEY ARE NOT WHEN THEY ARE VIEWED THROUGH THE PRISM THAT (AS I SAID SEVERAL MONTHS AGO) THE WORLD IS MAKING ITS WAY TOWARD HYBRID KINETIC WAR SOMETIME BETWEEN 2030 AND 2033. THERE IS NO LONGER A RULES-BASED SYSTEM OF INTERNATIONAL POLITICS THAT WAS ESTABLISHED IN 1945. IT BROKE DOWN IN THE LATE 1990S BECAUSE OF KOSOVO. WE ARE NOW FULLY IN THE STYLE OF “SPHERES OF INFLUENCE.” THIS IS HOW THE WORLD HAS WORKED FOR SEVERAL MILLENNIA. THE BEST EXAMPLE IS THE MELIAN DIALOGUE. WHAT THE UNITED STATES IS DOING NOW IS GETTING ITS DUCKS IN ORDER BECAUSE OF THE LIKELIHOOD OF WAR IN THE NEAR FUTURE. OIL IS THE VERY FOUNDATION OF MODERN CIVILIZATION, WITHOUT IT WE ARE RIGHT BACK IN THE 19TH CENTURY WITH THE STEAM ENGINE. THIS IS AN ENDLESS CHESS GAME WITH THE WORLD AS THE CHESSBOARD. EVERY NATION IS NOW DOING WHAT IS NECESSARY FOR THEIR OWN BEST INTERESTS. THIS WILL END AS IT ALWAYS DOES AFTER A VERY LARGE CONFLICT AND EITHER THE EXISTING HEGEMON PREVAILS OR A NEW HEGEMON SUCCEEDS. THIS IS THe THUCYDIDES TRAP OR as is exemplified in nature: the established lion who has his pride will always be challenged by the upstarts. this is the law of nature in all aspects.

sophia, pay attention to the world. do not rest on the superficial conclusions you see in the mainstream outlets. we are revisiting the 1930s. this is a repeating pattern.

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LOVE

DAD